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Campos AA vs Paraty

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
71' Event
79' Event

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 game between Campos AA and Paraty finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campos AA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Campos AA
20%
Draws
0%
Paraty
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Campos AA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Paraty's 1.69 goals per match outpaces what Campos AA have produced (1.43).
  • Campos AA are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Campos AA Clean Sheet 68%
Paraty Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campos AA Paraty
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Carioca B2
Campos AA vs Paraty
2:1
Jun 16, 2024 Carioca C
Campos AA vs Paraty
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campos AA 59 / 100
Paraty 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campos AA Paraty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campos AA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Paraty registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Campos AA scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Paraty let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Campos AA VS Paraty
1.88 Goals Scored 0.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.83
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Campos AA

(Home)
20 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 0
Campos AA
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
06 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 1
Paraty
31 Aug
Barra Mansa
2 : 2
Campos AA
23 Jul
Campos AA
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
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Paraty

(Away)
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
06 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 1
Paraty
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4
Belford Roxo
09 Nov
Goytacaz
3 : 2
Paraty
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 4 4 0 0 7:1 12
2 Friburguense 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
3 Santa Cruz RJ 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
4 7 de Abril 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
5 Paduano EC 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Belford Roxo 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Campos AA 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
8 Serra Macaense 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
9 FC Rio de Janeiro 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Barra Mansa 4 0 3 1 5:8 3
11 Paraty 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
12 Buzios 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)