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Campos vs Penya Independent Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Moreno C.
47' Event
Achtout N.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between Campos and Penya Independent finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penya Independent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Campos
30%
Draws
70%
Penya Independent
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Penya Independent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Penya Independent come out ahead of Campos on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Penya Independent's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Campos Clean Sheet 10%
Penya Independent Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Campos Penya Independent
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Independent vs Campos
6:0
Jan 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Campos vs Penya Independent
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Campos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Penya Independent Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Achtout N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Campos 10 / 100
Penya Independent 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Campos Penya Independent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penya Independent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Campos scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Penya Independent conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Penya Independent has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Campos VS Penya Independent
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Campos

(Home)
11 May
Campos
1 : 2
Mercadal
07 May
Penya Independent
6 : 0
Campos
24 Apr
Campos
1 : 2
Platges de Calvia
16 Apr
Constancia
3 : 0
Campos
12 Apr
Campos
1 : 4
Porreres
Page 1 of 6

Penya Independent

(Away)
08 Jun
Porreres
1 : 1
Penya Independent
31 May
Penya Independent
0 : 0
Porreres
24 May
Constancia
0 : 1
Penya Independent
17 May
Penya Independent
1 : 1
Constancia
11 May
Santanyi
1 : 0
Penya Independent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Poblense 34 22 6 6 47:17 72
2 Constancia 34 18 13 3 55:31 67
3 Formentera 34 19 9 6 68:34 66
4 Porreres 34 17 11 6 51:32 62
5 Penya Independent 34 17 7 10 59:34 58
6 Platges de Calvia 34 14 12 8 51:37 54
7 Manacor 34 13 12 9 54:36 51
8 Alcudia 34 13 8 13 51:53 47
9 Binissalem 34 13 8 13 35:34 47
10 Llosetense 34 12 8 14 47:45 44
11 Santanyi 34 10 13 11 40:45 43
12 Mercadal 34 10 10 14 40:43 40
13 Felanitx 34 10 10 14 33:50 40
14 Collerense 34 9 12 13 42:48 39
15 Portmany 34 8 13 13 43:51 37
16 PE Sant Jordi 34 8 6 20 30:52 30
17 Campos 34 4 8 22 31:75 20
18 Migjorn 34 4 4 26 22:82 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 (Play Offs)