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Canaa EC vs Luziania

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canaa EC host Luziania in the Brasiliense 2. This one's hard to separate. Canaa EC have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Luziania's 1.32 scored and 1.81 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.56, favoring Canaa EC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Canaa EC
30%
Draws
41%
Luziania
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Luziania have won more games recently than Canaa EC.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Canaa EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Canaa EC Clean Sheet 15%
Luziania Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canaa EC Luziania
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.14 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canaa EC 48 / 100
Luziania 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canaa EC Luziania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canaa EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canaa EC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Luziania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Canaa EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Luziania's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Canaa EC VS Luziania
0.5 Goals Scored 2.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canaa EC

(Home)
20 Sept
Canaa EC
1 : 0
Planaltina
06 Sept
Taguatinga
1 : 0
Canaa EC
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
10 Jul
Fluminense de Feira
1 : 1
Canaa EC
03 Jul
Canaa EC
1 : 2
Jequie
Page 1 of 6

Luziania

(Away)
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
05 Sept
Luziania
2 : 1
Planaltina
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Gremio Valparaiso 4 1 2 1 8:4 5
3 Legiao 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
4 Planaltina 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
5 Canaa EC 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
6 Luziania 3 1 1 1 2:7 4
7 Candango 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Brasiliense 2027 (Main)