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Canaa vs Itupiranga

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Paraense A2 2025
Canaa Logo

Canaa

1 - 2
FT
Itupiranga Logo

Itupiranga

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 2025 game between Canaa and Itupiranga finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itupiranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Canaa
35%
Draws
35%
Itupiranga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itupiranga come out ahead of Canaa on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Canaa Clean Sheet 21%
Itupiranga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canaa Itupiranga
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 10 12
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.05 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Paraense A2
Itupiranga vs Canaa
1:1
Jun 8, 2025 Paraense A2
Canaa vs Itupiranga
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canaa 32 / 100
Itupiranga 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canaa Itupiranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itupiranga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Itupiranga conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Canaa remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Canaa found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (20 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Canaa VS Itupiranga
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canaa

(Home)
23 May
Canaa
0 : 0
Santos PA
16 May
Caete
0 : 0
Canaa
09 May
Santos PA
2 : 2
Canaa
25 Apr
Canaa
2 : 2
Caete
26 Jul
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 0
Canaa
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Itupiranga

(Away)
21 Jun
Izabelense
0 : 0
Itupiranga
14 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 2
Izabelense
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0
Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0
Independente
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonia IFC 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Uniao Paraense 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
3 ESMAC 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Paragominas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Pinheirense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 0 1 11:8 9
2 Marajo 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
3 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
2 Itupiranga 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
3 Carajas 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)