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Stadium Background

Canaa vs Marajo

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canaa in this Paraense A2 2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Canaa
35%
Draws
11%
Marajo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Canaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Canaa haven't matched Marajo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Canaa a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Marajo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marajo, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Canaa have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Canaa Clean Sheet 20%
Marajo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canaa Marajo
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.05 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Paraense A2
Canaa vs Marajo
3:0
Jul 5, 2025 Paraense A2
Marajo vs Canaa
0:2
Feb 4, 2024 Paraense
Canaa vs Marajo
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canaa 85 / 100
Marajo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canaa Marajo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marajo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Canaa has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Canaa scored in 65% of their last 20 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Canaa VS Marajo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canaa

(Home)
23 May
Canaa
0 : 0
Santos PA
16 May
Caete
0 : 0
Canaa
09 May
Santos PA
2 : 2
Canaa
25 Apr
Canaa
2 : 2
Caete
26 Jul
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 0
Canaa
Page 1 of 4

Marajo

(Away)
24 May
Marajo
1 : 2
Urumajo
13 May
Paragominas
1 : 1
Marajo
09 May
Urumajo
3 : 0
Marajo
25 Apr
Marajo
0 : 5
Paragominas
12 Jul
Canaa
3 : 0
Marajo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Marajo 0
Canaa 5
Itupiranga 2
Sao Raimundo PA 4
Paragominas 1
Amazonia IFC 1
Uniao Paraense 0
Urumajo 1
Semi-finals
Canaa 1
Sao Raimundo PA 2
Amazonia IFC 5
Urumajo 3
Final
Sao Raimundo PA 2
Amazonia IFC 1