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Canada U17 W vs France U17 W

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World Cup Women U17 2025 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 3)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canada U17 W play France U17 W in the World Cup Women U17 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Canada U17 W averaged 3.42 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. France U17 W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Canada U17 W won 1, France U17 W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 25, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.65 for Canada U17 W and 0.92 for France U17 W. This points to a Canada U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Canada U17 W
15%
Draws
41%
France U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canada U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Canada U17 W picked up more points recently compared to France U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.65 vs 0.92 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Canada U17 W Clean Sheet 24%
France U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada U17 W France U17 W
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 19 22
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 3.42 2
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 4.17 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.33 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Canada U17 W vs France U17 W
2:1
Oct 12, 2022 World Cup Women U17
Canada U17 W vs France U17 W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kekic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.21
Avg xA / game 2.08

France U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Morissaint L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada U17 W 44 / 100
France U17 W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada U17 W France U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Canada U17 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Canada U17 W attacking → ← attacking France U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canada U17 W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

France U17 W let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Canada U17 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

France U17 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 72
4.17 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Italy U17 W330010:49
2Brazil U17 W31117:54
3Morocco U17 W31024:73
4Costa Rica U17 W30122:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North Korea U17 W33009:19
2Mexico U17 W32012:26
3Netherlands U17 W31024:93
4Cameroon U17 W30034:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1USA U17 W330013:29
2China U17 W320111:56
3Ecuador U17 W31022:73
4Norway U17 W30030:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Canada U17 W330012:29
2France U17 W32016:46
3Nigeria U17 W31025:53
4Samoa U17 W30032:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U17 W330012:09
2Colombia U17 W32014:46
3South Korea U17 W30121:71
4Ivory Coast U17 W30121:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U17 W32106:17
2Paraguay U17 W32107:37
3Zambia U17 W31025:43
4New Zealand U17 W30031:110