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Canada vs Colombia

World World

Friendly International 2025 Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Laryea R.
45'
Cornelius D.
46'
Sub
Campaz J. In: Rodriguez J.
Out: Campaz J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Canada
20%
Draws
47%
Colombia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Canada have won more games recently than Colombia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Canada Clean Sheet 19%
Colombia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada Colombia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 Friendly International
Canada vs Colombia
0:0
Oct 15, 2014 Friendly International
Canada vs Colombia
0:1
Feb 26, 2000 Gold Cup
Canada vs Colombia
2:0
Aug 8, 1971 Pan American Games
Colombia vs Canada
2:3
Aug 2, 1971 Pan American Games
Colombia vs Canada
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada 32 / 100
Colombia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada Colombia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canada's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Canada remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Colombia conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Canada VS Colombia
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada

(Home)
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
24 Jun
Switzerland
2 : 1
Canada
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
12 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
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Colombia

(Away)
07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0
Colombia
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
27 Jun
Colombia
0 : 0
Portugal
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3
Colombia
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