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Canada vs Honduras

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Canada Logo

Canada

6 - 0
FT
Honduras Logo

Honduras

Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Sigur N.
Assist: David J.
45' Event
Oluwaseyi T.
Assist: Laryea R.
46'
Sub
Palma L. In: Mejia C.
Out: Palma L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-0. The second leg ended 6-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Canada
30%
Draws
29%
Honduras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Canada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canada come out ahead of Honduras on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Canada taking it.
  • Canada have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Canada, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Canada Clean Sheet 20%
Honduras Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada Honduras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2025 Gold Cup
Canada vs Honduras
6:0
Mar 29, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Canada vs Honduras
4:1
Jun 14, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Honduras vs Canada
2:1
Jan 28, 2022 World Championship
Honduras vs Canada
0:2
Sep 3, 2021 World Championship
Canada vs Honduras
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada Compare

Top Goalscorer Buchanan T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sigur N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Honduras Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada 58 / 100
Honduras 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada Honduras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Canada found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Honduras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Canada remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Canada VS Honduras
0.88 Goals Scored 0.83
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada

(Home)
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
24 Jun
Switzerland
2 : 1
Canada
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
12 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 6

Honduras

(Away)
07 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0
Honduras
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
19 Nov
Costa Rica
0 : 0
Honduras
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0
Honduras
14 Oct
Honduras
3 : 0
Haiti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Costa Rica 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Dominican Republic 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Suriname 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Honduras 3 2 0 1 4:7 6
3 Curacao 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 El Salvador 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Guatemala 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Jamaica 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Guadeloupe 3 0 0 3 5:10 0
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Saudi Arabia 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Trinidad & Tobago 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
4 Haiti 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)