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Canada vs Qatar

World World

World Championship 2026 BC Place
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Cornelius D.
16' Event
Larin C.
29' Event
David J.

AI Match Summary

Canada in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Canada
6%
Draws
4%
Qatar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Canada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Canada have won more games recently than Qatar.
  • Model gives Canada a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Canada Clean Sheet 68%
Qatar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada Qatar
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 15 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.75 0.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 World Championship
Canada vs Qatar
6:0
Sep 23, 2022 Friendly International
Canada vs Qatar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada Compare

Top Goalscorer David J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Larin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Qatar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada 95 / 100
Qatar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada Qatar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qatar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Canada scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Canada went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canada VS Qatar
1.75 Goals Scored 0.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

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