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Canada W vs Argentina W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Rose J.
39' Event
Prince N.
46'
Sub
Rose J. In: Zadorsky S.
Out: Rose J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Canada W and Argentina W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canada W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Canada W
20%
Draws
38%
Argentina W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canada W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Argentina W haven't matched Canada W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Canada W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Canada W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Canada W Clean Sheet 68%
Argentina W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canada W Argentina W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 SheBelieves Cup Women
Canada W vs Argentina W
1:0
Apr 9, 2025 Friendly International Women
Canada W vs Argentina W
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Friendly International Women
Canada W vs Argentina W
3:0
Oct 6, 2022 Friendly International Women
Canada W vs Argentina W
2:0
Feb 21, 2021 SheBelieves Cup Women
Argentina W vs Canada W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canada W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rose J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prince N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Argentina W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canada W 95 / 100
Argentina W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canada W Argentina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canada W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Argentina W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Canada W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canada W VS Argentina W
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canada W

(Home)
10 Jun
Costa Rica W
0 : 6
Canada W
19 Apr
Brazil W
1 : 0
Canada W
14 Apr
Canada W
3 : 1
South Korea W
11 Apr
Canada W
4 : 0
Zambia W
07 Mar
Canada W
1 : 0
Argentina W
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Argentina W

(Away)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Argentina W
0 : 0
Colombia W
14 Apr
Venezuela W
1 : 2
Argentina W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
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