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Canberra Croatia vs Queanbeyan City

Australia Australia

NPL ACT Deakin Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Canberra Croatia play Queanbeyan City in the NPL ACT. It looks like a close match. Recently, Canberra Croatia averaged 2.73 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Queanbeyan City averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Canberra Croatia won 4, Queanbeyan City won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 10, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Canberra Croatia and 1.88 for Queanbeyan City. This points to a Canberra Croatia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Canberra Croatia
15%
Draws
35%
Queanbeyan City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canberra Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Canberra Croatia picked up more points recently compared to Queanbeyan City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Canberra Croatia Clean Sheet 10%
Queanbeyan City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canberra Croatia Queanbeyan City
Matches Played 33 27
Wins 20 13
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.73 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Queanbeyan City
4:2
Mar 31, 2026 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Canberra Croatia
3:0
Aug 10, 2025 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Canberra Croatia
1:3
Jun 21, 2025 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Canberra Croatia
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Queanbeyan City
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canberra Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Whitehead S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Seselja D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Queanbeyan City Compare

Top Goalscorer Jambrek R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adams M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canberra Croatia 47 / 100
Queanbeyan City 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canberra Croatia Queanbeyan City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Canberra Croatia or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Canberra Croatia attacking → ← attacking Queanbeyan City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canberra Croatia scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Queanbeyan City let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Canberra Croatia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Queanbeyan City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 42
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Canberra Croatia14111241:1634
2Monaro Panthers14110351:2133
3Tigers FC15101441:1831
4Canberra Juventus1390430:2127
5Tuggeranong United1390433:2927
6Queanbeyan City1280427:1724
7O'Connor Knights1450915:2815
8Canberra Olympic1441930:4013
9Belconnen United14221023:338
10Brindabella Blues1320117:426
11Canberra White Eagles14111210:434