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Canberra Croatia vs Tigers FC

Australia Australia

NPL ACT Deakin Stadium, Canberra
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
James T.
55' Event
Colbertaldo D.
76' Event
Milicevic A.

AI Match Summary

Canberra Croatia in this NPL ACT matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canberra Croatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Canberra Croatia
6%
Draws
4%
Tigers FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Canberra Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tigers FC haven't matched Canberra Croatia's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Canberra Croatia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Canberra Croatia Clean Sheet 10%
Tigers FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canberra Croatia Tigers FC
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 23 19
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 3 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL ACT
Tigers FC vs Canberra Croatia
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Tigers FC
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Tigers FC
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 NPL ACT
Tigers FC vs Canberra Croatia
1:2
Jul 6, 2025 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Tigers FC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canberra Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer James T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colbertaldo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Tigers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Milicevic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canberra Croatia 83 / 100
Tigers FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canberra Croatia Tigers FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canberra Croatia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Tigers FC has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Canberra Croatia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canberra Croatia VS Tigers FC
3 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Canberra Croatia

(Home)
21 Jul
Canberra Juventus
2 : 5
Canberra Croatia
11 Jul
Canberra Croatia
2 : 0
Brindabella Blues
05 Jul
Canberra Croatia
3 : 0
Canberra Olympic
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2
Tuggeranong United
20 Jun
Tigers FC
1 : 1
Canberra Croatia
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Tigers FC

(Away)
11 Jul
Tigers FC
2 : 2
Queanbeyan City
04 Jul
Canberra White Eagles
0 : 2
Tigers FC
27 Jun
Monaro Panthers
2 : 0
Tigers FC
20 Jun
Tigers FC
1 : 1
Canberra Croatia
14 Jun
Canberra Juventus
1 : 5
Tigers FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canberra Croatia16131248:1840
2Monaro Panthers15120353:2236
3Tuggeranong United15110436:3033
4Tigers FC16102443:2032
5Canberra Juventus15100534:2630
6Queanbeyan City1481530:2125
7Canberra Olympic1551932:4116
8O'Connor Knights15501015:3015
9Belconnen United15221123:348
10Brindabella Blues1420127:446
11Canberra White Eagles16111412:474
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capital Premier League 2027 (Main)