Sport Picks
Cancun vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, Cancún 
Match Events
17'
17'
Tecpanecatl A.
29'
29'
Bustos J.
29'
29'
Alvarez K.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Cancun and Alebrijes de Oaxaca finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cancun.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cancun
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca haven't matched Cancun's recent run of results.
- Cancun are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Cancun have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cancun Clean Sheet 20%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cancun | Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:0
Jan 25, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cancun
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:0
Aug 11, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cancun
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cancun Compare
Top Goalscorer Campos K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rodriguez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cancun 85 / 100
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cancun Alebrijes de Oaxaca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cancun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cancun scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Cancun went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cancun VS Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cancun
(Home) 04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0 Tapatio
26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1 Cancun
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2 Cancun
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0 Tapatio
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
28 Aug
Cancun
1 : 2 Atletico La Paz
16 Aug
Cancun
2 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 4
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
(Away) 09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Correcaminos
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
23 Aug
Jaiba Brava
2 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Aug
Tlaxcala
0 : 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 5 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
