Sport Picks
Cancun vs Atletico La Paz
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, Cancún 
Match Events
19'
19'
Rodriguez J.
45'
45'
Alvarez D.
Assist: Alaffita Garcia E. J.
49'
49'
Illescas F.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 game between Cancun and Atletico La Paz finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico La Paz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
27%
/ Low Confidence
- Cancun carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Cancun's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cancun Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico La Paz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cancun | Atletico La Paz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Atletico La Paz
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Atletico La Paz
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Cancun
2:4
Apr 20, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Atletico La Paz
4:1
Nov 2, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Cancun
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cancun Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Atletico La Paz Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cancun 38 / 100
Atletico La Paz 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cancun Atletico La Paz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cancun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cancun found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Atletico La Paz conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Cancun went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cancun VS Atletico La Paz
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cancun
(Home) 20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2 Cancun
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
28 Aug
Cancun
1 : 2 Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
28 Aug
Cancun
1 : 2 Atletico La Paz
16 Aug
Cancun
2 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
02 Aug
Cancun
0 : 2 Leones Negros
Page 1 of 4
Atletico La Paz
(Away) 19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
28 Aug
Cancun
1 : 2 Atletico La Paz
22 Aug
Atletico La Paz
1 : 1 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
28 Aug
Cancun
1 : 2 Atletico La Paz
08 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 5 Atletico La Paz
26 Jul
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 2 Atletico La Paz
01 Jul
Juarez
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
