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Cancun vs Jaiba Brava Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, Cancún
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Reyes R.
40'
Gonzalez C.
45' Event
Rodriguez J.
Assist: Trejo C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cancun
30%
Draws
23%
Jaiba Brava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cancun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cancun haven't matched Jaiba Brava's recent run of results.
  • Cancun are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Jaiba Brava arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jaiba Brava, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Cancun Clean Sheet 68%
Jaiba Brava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cancun Jaiba Brava
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Jaiba Brava
1:1
May 1, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Cancun
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Jaiba Brava
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Cancun
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Cancun
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cancun Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Jaiba Brava Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cancun 95 / 100
Jaiba Brava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cancun Jaiba Brava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cancun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cancun found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Jaiba Brava conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cancun stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cancun VS Jaiba Brava
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cancun

(Home)
26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1
Cancun
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1
Cancun
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2
Cancun
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 6

Jaiba Brava

(Away)
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0
Jaiba Brava
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1
Dorados de Sinaloa
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1
Jaiba Brava
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3
Venados FC
30 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 0
Jaiba Brava
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tepatitlan de Morelos 2
Atlante 2
Club Atletico Morelia 2
Zacatecas Mineros 3
Cancun 2
Tapatio 1
Atletico La Paz 1
Jaiba Brava 4
Semi-finals
Tepatitlan de Morelos 2
Zacatecas Mineros 2
Cancun 2
Jaiba Brava 3
Final
Tepatitlan de Morelos 1
Jaiba Brava 0