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Candango vs Sobradinho

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2005
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 game between Candango and Sobradinho finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Candango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Candango
15%
Draws
85%
Sobradinho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sobradinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Candango haven't matched Sobradinho's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sobradinho's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Candango Clean Sheet 10%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Candango Sobradinho
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 22 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.87
Goals Conceded 3.33 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2005 Brasiliense
Candango vs Sobradinho
2:1
Jan 30, 2005 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Candango
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Candango 10 / 100
Sobradinho 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Candango Sobradinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Candango found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Sobradinho let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Sobradinho has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Candango VS Sobradinho
0.57 Goals Scored 1.63
5 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 50%
71% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Candango

(Home)
11 Oct
Brasilia FC (DF)
6 : 0
Candango
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
28 Sept
Candango
0 : 7
Planaltina
20 Sept
Cruzeiro FC
5 : 0
Candango
14 Sept
Candango
3 : 4
Gremio Valparaiso
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Sobradinho

(Away)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 10 8 2 0 29:10 26
2 Paranoa 10 6 1 3 21:13 19
3 Candango 10 5 4 1 21:12 19
4 Real Brasilia 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
5 Sobradinho 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
6 Bandeirante DF 10 0 1 9 10:37 1
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 10 7 3 0 20:7 24
2 Gama 10 6 3 1 18:10 21
3 Luziania 10 4 3 3 13:8 15
4 Unai EC 10 2 4 4 11:17 10
5 Guara 10 1 3 6 10:17 6
6 Santa Maria 10 0 4 6 12:25 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 (Championship Group)