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Candas CF vs Llanes

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 game between Candas CF and Llanes finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Candas CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Candas CF
20%
Draws
22%
Llanes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Candas CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Llanes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Candas CF are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Candas CF have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Candas CF Clean Sheet 19%
Llanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Candas CF Llanes
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 6 12
Draws 10 12
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.94 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Llanes
2:1
Jan 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Candas CF
0:1
Mar 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Candas CF
2:2
Oct 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Llanes
2:0
Mar 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Llanes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Candas CF 58 / 100
Llanes 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Candas CF Llanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Candas CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Candas CF's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Llanes conceded in 78% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Candas CF has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Llanes
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Candas CF

(Home)
11 May
Tuilla
0 : 1
Candas CF
04 May
Candas CF
0 : 0
Gijon Industrial
26 Apr
Universidad Oviedo
2 : 0
Candas CF
20 Apr
Candas CF
1 : 1
Andes CF
13 Apr
Real Aviles B
0 : 1
Candas CF
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Llanes

(Away)
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1
Gijon B
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Llanes
1 : 4
Covadonga
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuilla 38 25 6 7 70:35 81
2 Universidad Oviedo 38 22 9 7 59:28 75
3 Covadonga 38 21 9 8 58:30 72
4 Langreo 38 20 11 7 54:22 71
5 Real Oviedo B 38 17 10 11 51:47 61
6 Lealtad 38 15 11 12 52:42 56
7 L Entregu CF 38 13 15 10 42:39 54
8 Condal 38 15 9 14 48:42 54
9 Cudillero 38 13 14 11 46:40 53
10 Luarca 38 13 12 13 42:43 51
11 Praviano 38 13 11 14 37:50 50
12 Union Club Ceares 38 13 9 16 43:48 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 11 12 15 55:57 45
14 Real Tapia 38 11 10 17 34:43 43
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Candas CF 38 11 9 18 37:56 42
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 10 12 16 42:52 42
18 Llanes 38 8 18 12 36:45 42
19 Navia 38 5 13 20 35:73 28
20 Navarro 38 3 9 26 27:69 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)