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Stadium Background

Canelas 2010 vs Maritimo Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bica J.
36'
Xadas B.
45'
dos Santos Simao L. P.

AI Match Summary

Maritimo in this Taça de Portugal 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Canelas 2010
35%
Draws
32%
Maritimo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Maritimo have won more games recently than Canelas 2010.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Canelas 2010 taking it.
  • Maritimo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Maritimo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 20%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canelas 2010 Maritimo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2023 Taça de Portugal
Canelas 2010 vs Maritimo
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canelas 2010 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Maritimo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bica J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Xadas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canelas 2010 36 / 100
Maritimo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canelas 2010 Maritimo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Canelas 2010 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Maritimo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Maritimo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maritimo
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Canelas 2010

(Home)
04 May
Canelas 2010
0 : 2
AD Fafe
27 Apr
Anadia
1 : 0
Canelas 2010
14 Apr
Trofense
4 : 1
Canelas 2010
07 Apr
Canelas 2010
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
30 Mar
SC Vianense
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 6

Maritimo

(Away)
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1
Maritimo
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1
Maritimo
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3
Benfica
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1
Maritimo
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2
Academico Viseu
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Moncarapachense -
TBD -
CU Micaelense 1
GD Alcochetense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Ponte -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilaverdense FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
Valadares Gaia FC 4
Torre De Moncorvo 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
SC Salgueiros 2
FC Foz 0
TBD -
Santa Maria FC -
Sao Joao de Ver -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Anadia 2
Sanjoanense 3
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Tomar -
TBD -
Pero Pinheiro 2
Caldas SC 1
Padernense 1
Serpa 2
TBD -
CD Gouveia -
Atletico SC 0
CDR Quarteirense 2
TBD -
CF Os Belenenses -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Uniao Lamas 2
Paredes 3
Florgrade 3
Beira Mar 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sertanense -
TBD -
TBD -
Amarante FC -
Academica 3
Uniao de Coimbra 0
Fornos de Algodres 0
Oliveira Hospital 5
O Elvas CAD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lanheses -
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
TBD -
Tirsense -
SC Vila Real 0
Ribeirao 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Vitoria Sernache -
TBD -
Aliados Lordelo 1
SC Vianense 3
CD Portosantense 1
Gondomar 0
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Barreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Mirandela -
CD Rabo Peixe -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveira do Douro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Juv. Evora 3
Portel 0
Sintrense 2
Operario 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Gafetense -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
Brito -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Vilar de Perdizes -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
GD Peniche 2
Marinhense 1
Mondinense 0
CDC Montalegre 2
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
Pevidem -
Canelas 2010 -
TBD -
FC Flamengos 0
GD Fontinhas 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Guadalupe 0
Fabril do Barreiro 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
Mortagua FC -
TBD -
Amora 8
Vitoria FC Pico 0
Lusitania FC 10
Regua 0
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Pedrogao Sao Pedro -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria -
Atletico Arcos -
TBD -
TBD -
Malveira -
Alqueidao 3
CD Torres Novas 2
TBD -
AD Marco 09 -
Rebordelo 1
Os Sandinenses 3
Real SC 1
Olivais e Moscavide 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Dumiense -
TBD -
Santarem 6
Proenca-A-Nova 0
Louletano 1
Imortal 0
TBD -
AFS -
Oriental -
TBD -
TBD -
Torreense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
SC Vilanovense 0
SC Pombal 2
TBD -
Tondela -
1º Dezembro -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Atletico CP -
TBD -
Alverca 13
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Castrense 1
Penedo Gordo 0
TBD -
Vila Mea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
AD Fafe 1
FC Felgueiras 2
AD Limianos 3
Varzim 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Amiense 0
SB Castelo Branco 7
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
SC Lusitania -
TBD -
TBD -
Os Marialvas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Luzense -
TBD -
TBD -
Camacha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Lusitano GC 2
Industria 0
TBD -
Covilha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Lusitano FCV 0
Tocha 2
Rebordosa 2
Lobao 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
1/64-finals
Moncarapachense 6
CU Micaelense 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Ponte 0
Vilaverdense FC 5
TBD -
SC Farense -
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Penafiel 2
SC Salgueiros 0
Santa Maria FC 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Leixoes 1
Sanjoanense 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Tomar 1
Pero Pinheiro 2
Serpa 2
CD Gouveia 1
CDR Quarteirense 0
CF Os Belenenses 1
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Paredes 5
Florgrade 1
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sertanense 0
Amarante FC 2
Academica 3
Oliveira Hospital 2
O Elvas CAD 1
Lanheses 0
ACDR Lamelas 1
Tirsense 3
Ribeirao 0
Santa Clara 3
Vitoria Sernache 0
SC Vianense 3
CD Portosantense 2
Nacional 4
FC Barreirense 0
SC Mirandela 3
CD Rabo Peixe 3
Oliveira do Douro 2
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Juv. Evora 1
Sintrense 2
TBD -
Estoril -
Gafetense 0
Mafra 5
Brito 0
Feirense 2
Vilar de Perdizes 5
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
GD Peniche 2
CDC Montalegre 3
Trofense 0
Pevidem 1
Canelas 2010 5
GD Fontinhas 0
TBD -
Chaves -
Fabril do Barreiro 1
Maritimo 3
Mortagua FC 2
Amora 1
Lusitania FC 1
Academico Viseu 2
Pedrogao Sao Pedro 0
Leiria 12
Atletico Arcos 2
Malveira 3
Alqueidao 1
AD Marco 09 3
Os Sandinenses 1
Olivais e Moscavide 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Dumiense 4
Santarem 3
Louletano 0
AFS 1
Oriental 0
Torreense 1
TBD -
Rio Ave -
SC Pombal 0
Tondela 5
1º Dezembro 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Atletico CP 1
Alverca 0
TBD -
Vizela -
Castrense 0
Vila Mea 3
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
FC Felgueiras 4
AD Limianos 0
TBD -
Arouca -
SB Castelo Branco 1
Oliveirense 2
TBD -
Boavista -
SC Lusitania 1
Os Marialvas 0
TBD -
Benfica -
Luzense 0
Camacha 3
TBD -
Famalicao -
Lusitano GC 0
Covilha 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
Tocha 2
Rebordosa 4
TBD -
Braga -
1/32-finals
Moncarapachense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Vilaverdense FC 3
SC Farense 2
Penafiel 3
Santa Maria FC 0
Leixoes 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Pero Pinheiro 0
Serpa 1
CF Os Belenenses 1
Gil Vicente 2
Paredes 2
Moreirense 1
Amarante FC 1
Academica 0
O Elvas CAD 2
Tirsense 1
Santa Clara 2
SC Vianense 0
Nacional 6
SC Mirandela 1
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Casa Pia 2
Sintrense 0
Estoril 5
Mafra 3
Feirense 1
Vilar de Perdizes 0
FC Porto 2
CDC Montalegre 2
Pevidem 1
Canelas 2010 1
Chaves 0
Maritimo 4
Mortagua FC 1
Academico Viseu 1
Leiria 3
Malveira 2
AD Marco 09 1
Olivais e Moscavide 1
Sporting CP 3
Dumiense 1
AFS 0
Torreense 2
Rio Ave 1
Tondela 2
1º Dezembro 1
Atletico CP 0
Vizela 1
Vila Mea 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
FC Felgueiras 1
Arouca 3
Oliveirense 1
Boavista 3
SC Lusitania 1
Benfica 4
Camacha 0
Famalicao 5
Covilha 1
Portimonense 4
Rebordosa 0
Braga 2
1/16-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
Vilaverdense FC 1
Penafiel 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Serpa 0
Gil Vicente 1
Paredes 0
Amarante FC 2
O Elvas CAD 1
Santa Clara 2
Nacional 1
Casa Pia 0
Estoril 2
Mafra 1
FC Porto 4
CDC Montalegre 0
Canelas 2010 1
Maritimo 3
Leiria 5
Malveira 0
Sporting CP 8
Dumiense 0
Torreense 1
Tondela 2
Vizela 2
Estrela da Amadora 1
Arouca 3
Boavista 2
Benfica 2
Famalicao 0
Portimonense 1
Braga 4
1/8-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Penafiel 0
Gil Vicente 3
Amarante FC 1
Santa Clara 2
Nacional 1
Estoril 0
FC Porto 4
Maritimo 0
Leiria 3
Sporting CP 4
Tondela 0
Vizela 1
Arouca 0
Benfica 3
Braga 2
Quarter-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Gil Vicente 1
Santa Clara 1
FC Porto 2
Leiria 0
Sporting CP 3
Vizela 1
Benfica 2
Semi-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
FC Porto 4
Sporting CP 4
Benfica 3
Final
FC Porto 2
Sporting CP 1