Sport Picks
Canillas vs RSD Alcala Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 
Match Events
39'
39'
Sanchez P.
46'
46'
Gonzalez I.
51'
51'
Nieto D.
AI Match Summary
RSD Alcala in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored RSD Alcala.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RSD Alcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to RSD Alcala lately — more wins on the board than Canillas.
- Model gives RSD Alcala a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Canillas Clean Sheet 17%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Canillas | RSD Alcala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs RSD Alcala
2:5
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Canillas
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs RSD Alcala
2:2
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Canillas
1:2
Apr 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs RSD Alcala
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Canillas Compare
Top Goalscorer Chenque
1 Goals Assists Leader Pitu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
RSD Alcala Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Canillas 10 / 100
RSD Alcala 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Canillas RSD Alcala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Canillas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
RSD Alcala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
Away concern: RSD Alcala has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS RSD Alcala
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Canillas
(Home) 11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5 RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2 Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3 Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0 Canillas
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5 RSD Alcala
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3 Leganes B
06 Apr
Canillas
0 : 0 Carabanchel
23 Mar
Canillas
0 : 2 Collado Villalba
09 Mar
Canillas
2 : 2 Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 3
RSD Alcala
(Away) 27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0 RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2 Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1 RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1 Real Avila
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0 RSD Alcala
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1 RSD Alcala
26 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 0 RSD Alcala
12 Apr
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 2 RSD Alcala
29 Mar
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 2 RSD Alcala
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 68:32 | 75 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 71:52 | 61 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 55:48 | 58 |
| 4 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 52:37 | 54 |
| 5 | Galapagar | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 45:41 | 54 |
| 6 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 45:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Collado Villalba | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 44:36 | 52 |
| 8 | Leganes B | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 51 |
| 9 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 55:50 | 47 |
| 10 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Mexico | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:49 | 42 |
| 13 | Carabanchel | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 14 | Parla | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Cala Pozuelo | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Aravaca CF | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 42:52 | 35 |
| 17 | Canillas | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 36:68 | 23 |
| 18 | El Alamo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:61 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
