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Caninde vs Coritiba SE

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caninde in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caninde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Caninde
15%
Draws
21%
Coritiba SE
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caninde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Coritiba SE haven't matched Caninde's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Caninde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Caninde Clean Sheet 10%
Coritiba SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caninde Coritiba SE
Matches Played 22 14
Wins 10 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.64 0.57
Goals Conceded 2.27 3.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 Sergipano 2
Coritiba SE vs Caninde
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Sergipano 2
Caninde vs Coritiba SE
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caninde 83 / 100
Coritiba SE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caninde Coritiba SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caninde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coritiba SE let in goals in 93% of their last 14 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Caninde's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Caninde went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caninde VS Coritiba SE
1.5 Goals Scored 0.33
3.63 Goals Conceded 3.33
100% Over 1.5 83%
100% Over 2.5 67%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caninde

(Home)
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2
Caninde
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
Caninde
1 : 7
Olimpico EC
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0
Flamengo SE
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 5

Coritiba SE

(Away)
11 Oct
Socorro
3 : 0
Coritiba SE
01 Oct
Coritiba SE
1 : 0
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
24 Sept
Aracaju FC
2 : 0
Coritiba SE
20 Sept
Coritiba SE
0 : 6
Propria
17 Sept
Coritiba SE
1 : 3
Santa Cruz SE
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)