Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caninde vs Frei Paulistano

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Frei Paulistano in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frei Paulistano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Caninde
15%
Draws
49%
Frei Paulistano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frei Paulistano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frei Paulistano lately — more wins on the board than Caninde.
  • Model gives Frei Paulistano a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Caninde Clean Sheet 10%
Frei Paulistano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caninde Frei Paulistano
Matches Played 22 33
Wins 10 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.27 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Sergipano 2
Frei Paulistano vs Caninde
4:1
Oct 16, 2024 Sergipano 2
Caninde vs Frei Paulistano
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caninde 10 / 100
Frei Paulistano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caninde Frei Paulistano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frei Paulistano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Caninde scored in 73% of their last 22 outings.

Defensive concern: Frei Paulistano conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.

Caninde went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caninde VS Frei Paulistano
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caninde

(Home)
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2
Caninde
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
Caninde
1 : 7
Olimpico EC
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0
Flamengo SE
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 5

Frei Paulistano

(Away)
01 Nov
Flamengo SE
0 : 4
Frei Paulistano
26 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1
Frei Paulistano
18 Oct
Frei Paulistano
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3
Frei Paulistano
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1
Boca Junior
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 5 4 1 0 14:2 13
2 America de Pedrinhas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
3 Desportiva Aracaju 5 4 0 1 16:5 12
4 Frei Paulistano 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
5 Flamengo SE 5 0 1 4 3:16 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra SE 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
2 Atletico Central 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
3 Independente SE 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
4 Boca Junior 5 1 1 3 7:12 4
5 Caninde 5 1 0 4 8:20 3
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)