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Caninde vs Propria

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caninde in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caninde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Caninde
30%
Draws
28%
Propria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caninde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Caninde have won more games recently than Propria.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Caninde Clean Sheet 10%
Propria Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caninde Propria
Matches Played 22 16
Wins 10 6
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.64 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Sergipano 2
Caninde vs Propria
2:1
Sep 4, 2024 Sergipano 2
Propria vs Caninde
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caninde 30 / 100
Propria 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caninde Propria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Propria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caninde's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Defensive concern: Propria conceded in 63% of 16 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Caninde remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caninde VS Propria
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caninde

(Home)
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2
Caninde
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
Caninde
1 : 7
Olimpico EC
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0
Flamengo SE
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 5

Propria

(Away)
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
05 Oct
Propria
1 : 1
Socorrense
02 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Propria
27 Sept
Propria
1 : 1
Socorro
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)