Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cannara vs Siena

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ciofi J.
45'
Vari F.
74' Event
Andolfi T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Cannara and Siena finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cannara
30%
Draws
37%
Siena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Siena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Siena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Siena's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Siena have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cannara Clean Sheet 10%
Siena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cannara Siena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Siena
0:4
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Cannara
2:0
Apr 11, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Cannara
2:0
Dec 20, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Siena
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cannara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Siena Compare

Top Goalscorer Andolfi T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ciofi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cannara 22 / 100
Siena 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cannara Siena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Siena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Cannara remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Cannara found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Cannara VS Siena
0.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cannara

(Home)
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Cannara
1 : 1
Scandicci
12 Apr
Tau
1 : 0
Cannara
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
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Siena

(Away)
31 Jul
Siena
2 : 0
Scandicci
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
03 May
Siena
4 : 4
Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
2 : 5
Siena
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0
Montevarchi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)