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Cannes W vs Thonon Evian W Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Stade Pierre de Coubertin, Cannes
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
4 - 5
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-5. The second leg ended 4-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cannes W
20%
Draws
51%
Thonon Evian W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thonon Evian W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Thonon Evian W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cannes W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Thonon Evian W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Thonon Evian W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cannes W Clean Sheet 10%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cannes W Thonon Evian W
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2 1.69
Goals Conceded 3 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Cannes W vs Thonon Evian W
4:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cannes W 40 / 100
Thonon Evian W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cannes W Thonon Evian W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cannes W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Thonon Evian W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Cannes W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cannes W VS Thonon Evian W
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cannes W

(Home)
27 Sept
Grenoble W
3 : 0
Cannes W
20 Sept
Roubaix W
5 : 1
Cannes W
13 Sept
Cannes W
5 : 1
Grenoble W
06 Sept
Nice W
1 : 1
Cannes W
22 Aug
Cannes W
4 : 5
Thonon Evian W
Page 1 of 2

Thonon Evian W

(Away)
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
22 Aug
Cannes W
4 : 5
Thonon Evian W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Lens W 3 2 0 1 5:1 7
3 St Etienne W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Strasbourg W 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
5 Saint-Malo W 2 2 0 0 4:1 5
6 Auxerre W 2 2 0 0 4:2 5
7 Thonon Evian W 3 2 0 1 6:10 5
8 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Le Mans W 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
10 Fleury 91 W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
11 Roubaix W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
12 Montpellier W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Le Havre W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
14 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Nice W 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
16 Lille W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
17 Cannes W 2 0 0 2 4:7 1
18 Bourges 18 W 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
19 Toulouse W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)