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Canterbury United W vs Auckland United W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Roche C.
29' Event
Mortlock C.
61' Event
Knott C.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women 2024 game between Canterbury United W and Auckland United W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auckland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Canterbury United W
6%
Draws
90%
Auckland United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auckland United W come out ahead of Canterbury United W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Auckland United W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Canterbury United W Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canterbury United W Auckland United W
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 10 29
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1 3.63
Goals Conceded 4 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Canterbury United W
8:0
Oct 25, 2024 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Auckland United W
1:4
Sep 24, 2023 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Canterbury United W
4:2
Nov 26, 2022 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Auckland United W
7:2
Oct 9, 2022 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Canterbury United W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canterbury United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mortlock C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Auckland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Roche C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Knott C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canterbury United W 10 / 100
Auckland United W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canterbury United W Auckland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury United W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 6.60 goals as a typical output.

Auckland United W let in goals in 53% of their last 36 matches.

Recent resilience: Canterbury United W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canterbury United W VS Auckland United W
1 Goals Scored 3.63
4 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canterbury United W

(Home)
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2
Canterbury United W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5
West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
25 Oct
Southern United W
4 : 0
Canterbury United W
Page 1 of 6

Auckland United W

(Away)
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W981021:425
2Waterside Karori W953118:818
3Eastern Suburbs W942324:914
4Western Springs W942322:1314
5West Coast Rangers W942320:1514
6Wellington United W934219:1113
7Canterbury United W941417:2013
8Southern United W932417:1211
9Wellington Phoenix 2 W91179:284
10Central Football W90093:500
Promotion - National League Women 2024 (Play Offs)