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Canterbury United W vs Waterside Karori W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canterbury United W host Waterside Karori W in the National League Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Waterside Karori W have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Canterbury United W have conceded 2.75 and scored 1.86. Head-to-head, Canterbury United W have won 0 to Waterside Karori W's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2024, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.25, favoring Waterside Karori W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Canterbury United W
15%
Draws
28%
Waterside Karori W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canterbury United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Waterside Karori W lately — more wins on the board than Canterbury United W.
  • Win probability leans Canterbury United W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Canterbury United W Clean Sheet 10%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canterbury United W Waterside Karori W
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Canterbury United W
3:2
Oct 1, 2023 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Waterside Karori W
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canterbury United W 83 / 100
Waterside Karori W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canterbury United W Waterside Karori W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canterbury United W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury United W scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Waterside Karori W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 24 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Waterside Karori W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Canterbury United W VS Waterside Karori W
1 Goals Scored 0.5
4 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canterbury United W

(Home)
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1
Canterbury United W
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2
Canterbury United W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5
West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
Page 1 of 6

Waterside Karori W

(Away)
03 Oct
West Coast Rangers W
1 : 2
Waterside Karori W
26 Sept
Waterside Karori W
0 : 1
Fencibles W
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0
Waterside Karori W
05 Jul
Waterside Karori W
1 : 4
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Dec
Auckland United W
3 : 1
Waterside Karori W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland United W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
3 Waterside Karori W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Fencibles W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Wellington United W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
7 West Coast Rangers W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
8 Canterbury United W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
9 Southern United W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)