Sport Picks
Canterbury United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
New Zealand
National League Women 2024 
Match Events
24'
24'
Trewhitt R.
38'
38'
Mortlock C.
47'
47'
Dominikovich N.
AI Match Summary
The National League Women 2024 game between Canterbury United W and Wellington Phoenix 2 W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canterbury United W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Wellington Phoenix 2 W haven't matched Canterbury United W's recent run of results.
- Model gives Wellington Phoenix 2 W a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Canterbury United W have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Canterbury United W Clean Sheet 10%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Canterbury United W | Wellington Phoenix 2 W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 4 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 4.00 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2025 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4:1
Oct 29, 2023 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Canterbury United W Compare
Top Goalscorer Mortlock C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dominikovich N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Compare
Top Goalscorer Trewhitt R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Canterbury United W 10 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Canterbury United W Wellington Phoenix 2 W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Canterbury United W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Wellington Phoenix 2 W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.33 goals.
Canterbury United W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Canterbury United W VS Wellington Phoenix 2 W
1 Goals Scored 2
4 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Canterbury United W
(Home) 21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0 Central Football W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2 Canterbury United W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5 West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8 Wellington United W
25 Oct
Southern United W
4 : 0 Canterbury United W
Page 1 of 6
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0 Central Football W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5 West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8 Wellington United W
10 Oct
Canterbury United W
2 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
04 Oct
Canterbury United W
3 : 0 Western Springs W
Page 1 of 4
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
(Away) 05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2 Western Springs W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0 Central Football W
Page 1 of 6
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
10 Oct
Canterbury United W
2 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
28 Sept
Southern United W
4 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland United W | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | Waterside Karori W | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Eastern Suburbs W | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 24:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Western Springs W | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 14 |
| 5 | West Coast Rangers W | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 6 | Wellington United W | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Canterbury United W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:20 | 13 |
| 8 | Southern United W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:28 | 4 |
| 10 | Central Football W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3:50 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Women 2024 (Play Offs)
