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CAP Uberlandia vs Democrata GV

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CAP Uberlandia play Democrata GV in the Campeonato Mineiro 2 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, CAP Uberlandia averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Democrata GV averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, CAP Uberlandia won 0, Democrata GV won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 24, 2020 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for CAP Uberlandia and 0.74 for Democrata GV. This points to a Democrata GV double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
CAP Uberlandia
31%
Draws
40%
Democrata GV
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Democrata GV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • CAP Uberlandia picked up more points recently compared to Democrata GV.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
CAP Uberlandia Clean Sheet 27%
Democrata GV Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 47%
Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CAP Uberlandia Democrata GV
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.77 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.1 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2020 Mineiro 2
Democrata GV vs CAP Uberlandia
1:0
Apr 8, 2019 Mineiro 2
Democrata GV vs CAP Uberlandia
1:1
May 8, 2016 Mineiro 2
CAP Uberlandia vs Democrata GV
0:6
Apr 7, 2016 Mineiro 2
Democrata GV vs CAP Uberlandia
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CAP Uberlandia 32 / 100
Democrata GV 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CAP Uberlandia Democrata GV

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Democrata GV or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CAP Uberlandia attacking → ← attacking Democrata GV

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CAP Uberlandia scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Democrata GV let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

CAP Uberlandia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Democrata GV lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 41
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00