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Capalaba FC vs North Star

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League John Frederick Park, Redlands
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Perez Rodriguez F.
22' Event
Edgar A.
59' Event
Rossi J.

AI Match Summary

North Star in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Capalaba FC
39%
Draws
31%
North Star
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to North Star lately — more wins on the board than Capalaba FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%
North Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capalaba FC North Star
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 3.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs North Star
2:3
Aug 30, 2014 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs Capalaba FC
2:1
May 10, 2014 Brisbane Premier League
Capalaba FC vs North Star
6:1
Jul 27, 2013 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs Capalaba FC
0:3
Apr 19, 2013 Brisbane Premier League
Capalaba FC vs North Star
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capalaba FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Edgar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rossi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez Rodriguez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capalaba FC 29 / 100
North Star 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capalaba FC North Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Star has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Capalaba FC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: North Star registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capalaba FC VS North Star
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
3.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Capalaba FC

(Home)
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2
St. George Willawong
27 Jun
Broadbeach Utd.
3 : 1
Capalaba FC
23 Jun
Robina City
5 : 1
Capalaba FC
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North Star

(Away)
18 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 2
North Star
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
04 Jul
North Star
1 : 2
Redlands
27 Jun
St. George Willawong
2 : 0
North Star
20 Jun
North Star
1 : 3
Broadbeach Utd.
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1985631:2129
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1975736:3326
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1973929:3624
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC19321420:5111
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)