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Capalaba FC vs Robina City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League John Frederick Park, Redlands
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Sharma L.
55' Event
McMaster H.
75' Event
Cornish B.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Capalaba FC and Robina City finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Robina City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Capalaba FC
20%
Draws
51%
Robina City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Robina City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Robina City come out ahead of Capalaba FC on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 12%
Robina City Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capalaba FC Robina City
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Robina City
1:2
Jun 23, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Robina City vs Capalaba FC
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capalaba FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sharma L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Robina City Compare

Top Goalscorer McMaster H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cornish B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capalaba FC 35 / 100
Robina City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capalaba FC Robina City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Robina City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Capalaba FC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Robina City has conceded goals in 64% of their last 22 outings.

Capalaba FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capalaba FC VS Robina City
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Capalaba FC

(Home)
15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2
Robina City
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
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Robina City

(Away)
15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2
Robina City
09 Aug
North Star
1 : 0
Robina City
01 Aug
Holland Park Hawks
6 : 3
Robina City
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
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