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Cape Umoya United vs JDR Stars

South Africa South Africa

GladAfrica Championship 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cape Umoya United play JDR Stars in the GladAfrica Championship 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cape Umoya United averaged 0.93 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. JDR Stars averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Cape Umoya United won 1, JDR Stars won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 30, 2021 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Cape Umoya United and 1.11 for JDR Stars. This points to a JDR Stars double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cape Umoya United
29%
Draws
41%
JDR Stars
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: JDR Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Cape Umoya United picked up more points recently compared to JDR Stars.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Cape Umoya United Clean Sheet 21%
JDR Stars Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cape Umoya United JDR Stars
Matches Played 30 50
Wins 8 21
Draws 11 15
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.16

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2021 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Cape Umoya United vs JDR Stars
1:0
Dec 19, 2020 Motsepe Foundation Championship
JDR Stars vs Cape Umoya United
3:1
Dec 13, 2020 Nedbank Cup
JDR Stars vs Cape Umoya United
3:2
Aug 22, 2020 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Cape Umoya United vs JDR Stars
2:2
Sep 21, 2019 Motsepe Foundation Championship
JDR Stars vs Cape Umoya United
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cape Umoya United 31 / 100
JDR Stars 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cape Umoya United JDR Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: JDR Stars or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cape Umoya United attacking → ← attacking JDR Stars

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cape Umoya United scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

JDR Stars let in goals in 62% of their last 50 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Cape Umoya United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

JDR Stars lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 78
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sekhukhune301411541:2053
2Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila301312534:2551
3Richards Bay301310741:2749
4TS Sporting301310741:2849
5Free State Stars30129937:3245
6JDR Stars301111833:3244
7Cape Umoya United301011931:2441
8Pretoria Callies301181124:2641
9Jomo Cosmos309111025:2738
10Cape Town All Stars309101128:3237
11Uthongathi309101128:3337
12Pretoria U.30981327:3035
13Cape Town Spurs30891322:3833
14Polokwane City308111125:3032
15Steenberg United30791427:4130
16Bizana Pondo Chiefs30581724:4323