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Capital DF U20 vs Gama U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Gama U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Capital DF U20
30%
Draws
23%
Gama U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Capital DF U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Capital DF U20 come out ahead of Gama U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Capital DF U20 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Capital DF U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Capital DF U20, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Capital DF U20 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Capital DF U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Gama U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital DF U20 Gama U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 3.48 2.4
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 3.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs Gama U20
7:2
Jun 5, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Gama U20 vs Capital DF U20
2:4
Aug 12, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs Gama U20
0:1
May 20, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs Gama U20
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital DF U20 85 / 100
Gama U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital DF U20 Gama U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital DF U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capital DF U20 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Gama U20 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Capital DF U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Capital DF U20 VS Gama U20
5.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital DF U20

(Home)
23 Aug
Capital DF U20
1 : 0
Sobradinho U20
15 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 0
Capital DF U20
08 Aug
Capital DF U20
5 : 0
Planaltina U20
02 Aug
Planaltina U20
1 : 1
Capital DF U20
25 Jul
Capital DF U20
7 : 2
Gama U20
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Gama U20

(Away)
25 Jul
Capital DF U20
7 : 2
Gama U20
18 Jul
Gama U20
0 : 0
Sobradinho U20
11 Jul
Samambaense U20
0 : 4
Gama U20
07 Jul
Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20
1 : 0
Gama U20
27 Jun
Gama U20
3 : 3
Candango U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Capital DF U20 9
ARUC U20 0
Canaa U20 2
Santa Maria U20 0
Brasiliense U20 4
Brazlandia U20 2
Gama U20 3
Luziania U20 1
Semi-finals
Capital DF U20 2
Canaa U20 1
Brasiliense U20 1
Gama U20 2
Final
Capital DF U20 0
Gama U20 1