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Capital DF U20 vs Santa Maria U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Capital DF U20 Logo

Capital DF U20

0 - 1
FT
Santa Maria U20 Logo

Santa Maria U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santa Maria U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Maria U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Capital DF U20
20%
Draws
33%
Santa Maria U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capital DF U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Maria U20 haven't matched Capital DF U20's recent run of results.
  • Capital DF U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Capital DF U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Capital DF U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Maria U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital DF U20 Santa Maria U20
Matches Played 38 33
Wins 28 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 3.61 1.85
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs Santa Maria U20
2:1
Jul 8, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs Santa Maria U20
0:1
Jul 3, 2021 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs Santa Maria U20
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital DF U20 83 / 100
Santa Maria U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital DF U20 Santa Maria U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital DF U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capital DF U20 scored in 84% of their last 38 games.

Santa Maria U20 let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Capital DF U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capital DF U20 VS Santa Maria U20
6 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital DF U20

(Home)
23 Aug
Capital DF U20
1 : 0
Sobradinho U20
15 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 0
Capital DF U20
08 Aug
Capital DF U20
5 : 0
Planaltina U20
02 Aug
Planaltina U20
1 : 1
Capital DF U20
25 Jul
Capital DF U20
7 : 2
Gama U20
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Santa Maria U20

(Away)
09 Aug
Brasiliense U20
5 : 0
Santa Maria U20
02 Aug
Santa Maria U20
1 : 7
Brasiliense U20
26 Jul
Santa Maria U20
6 : 0
Luziania U20
18 Jul
Cruzeiro DF U20
2 : 2
Santa Maria U20
12 Jul
Santa Maria U20
3 : 1
Ceilandense U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 8 6 2 0 25:4 20
2 Canaa U20 8 6 2 0 20:6 20
3 Luziania U20 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 ARUC U20 8 4 0 4 14:11 12
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
6 Botafogo DF U20 8 3 0 5 15:22 9
7 Samambaia U20 8 1 2 5 6:13 5
8 Brasilia U20 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
9 Ceilandense U20 8 0 1 7 6:24 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital DF U20 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Gama U20 8 4 2 2 14:4 14
3 Santa Maria U20 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Brazlandia U20 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Paranoa U20 8 3 3 2 12:6 12
6 Real Brasilia U20 8 2 5 1 15:6 11
7 Planaltina U20 8 2 4 2 16:12 10
8 Legiao U20 8 2 0 6 8:18 6
9 Samambaense U20 8 0 0 8 4:37 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)