Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Capital DF U20 vs Sobradinho U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 Logo

Capital DF U20

1 - 0
FT
Sobradinho U20 Logo

Sobradinho U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Capital DF U20
15%
Draws
32%
Sobradinho U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capital DF U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Capital DF U20 have won more games recently than Sobradinho U20.
  • Model gives Capital DF U20 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Capital DF U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Capital DF U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Capital DF U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Capital DF U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sobradinho U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital DF U20 Sobradinho U20
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 26 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 3.6 2.45
Goals Conceded 0.74 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs Sobradinho U20
1:0
Aug 15, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Sobradinho U20 vs Capital DF U20
1:0
Jun 7, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Sobradinho U20 vs Capital DF U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital DF U20 83 / 100
Sobradinho U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital DF U20 Sobradinho U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital DF U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capital DF U20's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Solid form: Capital DF U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sobradinho U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sobradinho U20 conceded in 55% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Capital DF U20 VS Sobradinho U20
5.88 Goals Scored 3.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital DF U20

(Home)
23 Aug
Capital DF U20
1 : 0
Sobradinho U20
15 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 0
Capital DF U20
08 Aug
Capital DF U20
5 : 0
Planaltina U20
02 Aug
Planaltina U20
1 : 1
Capital DF U20
25 Jul
Capital DF U20
7 : 2
Gama U20
Page 1 of 7

Sobradinho U20

(Away)
08 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 0
Sobradinho U20
29 Aug
Brasiliense U20
2 : 1
Sobradinho U20
23 Aug
Capital DF U20
1 : 0
Sobradinho U20
15 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 0
Capital DF U20
08 Aug
Canaa U20
0 : 2
Sobradinho U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Brasiliense U20 12
Santa Maria U20 1
Real Brasilia U20 1
Samambaia U20 0
Capital DF U20 6
Planaltina U20 1
Canaa U20 2
Sobradinho U20 3
Semi-finals
Brasiliense U20 6
Real Brasilia U20 3
Capital DF U20 1
Sobradinho U20 1
Final
Brasiliense U20 2
Sobradinho U20 1