Sport Picks

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Capital FC vs Gurupi

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Capital FC play Gurupi in the Tocantinense. It looks like a close match. Recently, Capital FC averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Gurupi averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Capital FC won 2, Gurupi won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 7, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Capital FC and 1.31 for Gurupi. This points to a Capital FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Capital FC
33%
Draws
40%
Gurupi
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Capital FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gurupi.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Gurupi.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tocantinense provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Capital FC Clean Sheet 18%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital FC Gurupi
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 13
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tocantinense
Capital FC vs Gurupi
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Capital FC
0:1
Feb 3, 2024 Tocantinense
Capital FC vs Gurupi
0:0
Feb 18, 2023 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Capital FC
1:1
Feb 12, 2022 Tocantinense
Capital FC vs Gurupi
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital FC 28 / 100
Gurupi 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital FC Gurupi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capital FC scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Gurupi let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Capital FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gurupi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capital FC VS Gurupi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tocantinopolis761010:119
2Uniao Carmolandense741212:513
3Gurupi741210:613
4Capital FC723210:99
5Araguaina72237:78
6Bela Vista-TO72238:148
7Palmas71244:105
8Guarai SC70253:122