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Capital vs Bosque Formosa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2020
Capital Logo

Capital

0 - 3
FT
Bosque Formosa Logo

Bosque Formosa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 game between Capital and Bosque Formosa finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bosque Formosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Capital
20%
Draws
0%
Bosque Formosa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Capital come out ahead of Bosque Formosa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Capital a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Capital Clean Sheet 68%
Bosque Formosa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital Bosque Formosa
Matches Played 48 30
Wins 24 9
Draws 16 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.65 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2020 Brasiliense
Capital vs Bosque Formosa
0:3
Mar 24, 2019 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Capital
1:1
Feb 22, 2014 Brasiliense
Capital vs Bosque Formosa
1:2
Apr 7, 2012 Brasiliense
Capital vs Bosque Formosa
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital 95 / 100
Bosque Formosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital Bosque Formosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bosque Formosa has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Bosque Formosa's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Capital's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 48 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Capital VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital

(Home)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 10

Bosque Formosa

(Away)
10 Apr
Bosque Formosa
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
06 Apr
Gama
2 : 0
Bosque Formosa
02 Apr
Bosque Formosa
1 : 6
Samambaia
12 Mar
Luziania
2 : 1
Bosque Formosa
27 Feb
Bosque Formosa
2 : 5
Taguatinga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 11 10 1 0 41:8 31
2 Brasiliense 11 9 1 1 38:7 28
3 Real Brasilia 11 7 2 2 25:9 23
4 Bosque Formosa 11 6 1 4 19:19 19
5 Taguatinga 11 5 3 3 18:15 18
6 Capital 11 3 6 2 15:12 15
7 Luziania 11 4 2 5 22:21 14
8 Sobradinho 11 4 1 6 13:24 13
9 Unai EC 11 3 2 6 19:22 11
10 Ceilandia 11 2 2 7 8:26 8
11 Ceilandense 11 0 3 8 1:27 3
12 Paranoa 11 0 2 9 8:37 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 (Play Offs)