Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Capitao Poco vs Bragantino PA

Brazil Brazil

Paraense Estádio Municipal José Rufino de Souza
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Debu
62' Event
Vinicius Henrique
(Penalty)
87' Event
Inacio

AI Match Summary

Capitao Poco host Bragantino PA in the Paraense. This one's hard to separate. Capitao Poco have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Bragantino PA's 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Capitao Poco slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.25) point toward Capitao Poco. Capitao Poco in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Capitao Poco
17%
Draws
13%
Bragantino PA
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Capitao Poco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Capitao Poco has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bragantino PA.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Capitao Poco.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paraense provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Capitao Poco Clean Sheet 68%
Bragantino PA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capitao Poco Bragantino PA
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Paraense
Capitao Poco vs Bragantino PA
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Paraense
Capitao Poco vs Bragantino PA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capitao Poco Compare

Top Goalscorer Debu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Inacio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bragantino PA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capitao Poco 77 / 100
Bragantino PA 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capitao Poco Bragantino PA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capitao Poco scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bragantino PA let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Capitao Poco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bragantino PA lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capitao Poco VS Bragantino PA
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cameta63218:411
2Capitao Poco63129:610
3Paysandu PA63126:410
4Aguia De Maraba63128:710
5Remo62409:510
6Tuna Luso63033:59
7Castanhal62224:58
8Santa Rosa62134:77
9Sao Raimundo PA61326:86
10Amazonia IFC61327:116
11Bragantino PA61236:75
12Sao Francisco61234:55