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Capitao Poco vs Bragantino PA Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Rocha Rodrigo
87' Event
Debu

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Capitao Poco
15%
Draws
21%
Bragantino PA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capitao Poco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capitao Poco lately — more wins on the board than Bragantino PA.
  • Model gives Capitao Poco a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Capitao Poco Clean Sheet 19%
Bragantino PA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capitao Poco Bragantino PA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.2
Goals Conceded 1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Paraense
Capitao Poco vs Bragantino PA
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Paraense
Capitao Poco vs Bragantino PA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capitao Poco Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha Rodrigo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bragantino PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Debu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capitao Poco 67 / 100
Bragantino PA 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capitao Poco Bragantino PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capitao Poco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bragantino PA has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Capitao Poco found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Capitao Poco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capitao Poco VS Bragantino PA
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Capitao Poco

(Home)
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1
Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Cameta
1 : 2
Capitao Poco
22 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 1
Tuna Luso
19 Feb
Capitao Poco
0 : 1
Castanhal
15 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0
Castanhal
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Bragantino PA

(Away)
19 Feb
Primavera AC
2 : 1
Bragantino PA
15 Feb
Bragantino PA
2 : 0
Tuna Luso
12 Feb
Bragantino PA
1 : 1
Sao Raimundo PA
08 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0
Bragantino PA
05 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 1
Bragantino PA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 2 1 17:4 17
2 Paysandu PA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
3 Bragantino PA 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
4 Castanhal 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
5 Tuna Luso 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
6 Aguia De Maraba 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
7 Capitao Poco 8 2 5 1 9:9 11
8 Santa Rosa 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
9 Cameta 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
10 Sao Francisco 8 2 0 6 9:16 6
11 Independente 8 1 3 4 5:12 6
12 Caete 8 1 0 7 5:12 3
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
2 Cameta 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
3 Sao Francisco 8 2 0 6 9:16 6
4 Caete 8 1 0 7 5:12 3
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 2 1 17:4 17
2 Bragantino PA 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
3 Castanhal 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
4 Independente 8 1 3 4 5:12 6
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuna Luso 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
2 Aguia De Maraba 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
3 Capitao Poco 8 2 5 1 9:9 11
4 Santa Rosa 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)