Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Erivaldo
76'
76'
Luiz Felipe
AI Match Summary
The Paulista U20 game between Capivariano U20 and Referencia U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capivariano U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Capivariano U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Capivariano U20 come out ahead of Referencia U20 on wins alone.
- Capivariano U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Capivariano U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Capivariano U20 | Referencia U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Paulista U20
Capivariano U20 vs Referencia U20
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Capivariano U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Erivaldo
1 Goals Assists Leader Luiz Felipe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Referencia U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Capivariano U20 85 / 100
Referencia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Capivariano U20 Referencia U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Referencia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Capivariano U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Capivariano U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Capivariano U20 VS Referencia U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Capivariano U20
(Home) 17 Jul
Capivariano U20
2 : 0 Referencia U20
11 Jul
Palmeiras U20
2 : 2 Capivariano U20
03 Jul
Capivariano U20
2 : 2 Ituano U20
28 Jun
Bragantino U20
3 : 1 Capivariano U20
12 Jun
XV de Jau U20
0 : 0 Capivariano U20
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Capivariano U20
2 : 0 Referencia U20
03 Jul
Capivariano U20
2 : 2 Ituano U20
05 Jun
Capivariano U20
2 : 1 Sfera U20
09 Jan
Capivariano U20
3 : 3 Rio Branco ES U20
05 Sept
Capivariano U20
0 : 0 Ponte Preta U20
Page 1 of 4
Referencia U20
(Away) 17 Jul
Capivariano U20
2 : 0 Referencia U20
05 Jul
Referencia U20
1 : 4 Bragantino U20
26 Jun
Referencia U20
1 : 2 Gremio Prudente U20
12 Jun
Ituano U20
1 : 1 Referencia U20
05 Jun
Referencia U20
1 : 2 Agua Santa U20
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Capivariano U20
2 : 0 Referencia U20
12 Jun
Ituano U20
1 : 1 Referencia U20
29 May
Flamengo SP U20
2 : 0 Referencia U20
13 Jan
Fluminense U20
2 : 1 Referencia U20
26 Sept
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0 Referencia U20
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians U20 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17:1 | 19 |
| 2 | CA Juventus U20 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Santos U20 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:1 | 14 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria U20 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Sertaozinho U20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Portuguesa U20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Ponte Preta U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Sao Bento U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 9 | Portuguesa Santista U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 8 |
| 10 | Jabaquara U20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | 7 |
| 11 | Itapirense U20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:17 | 6 |
| 12 | Uniao Suzano U20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:17 | 4 |
| 13 | America SP U20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3:15 | 3 |
| 14 | Mirassol U20 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibrachina U20 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Desportivo U20 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo U20 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:1 | 14 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting U20 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Paulinense U20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Piracicaba U20 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Santo Andre U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 8 | Bandeirante U20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 9 | Aguai U20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Sao Caetano U20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 11 | Novorizontino U20 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 12 | Uniao Sao Joao U20 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 13 | EC Sao Bernardo U20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 14 | Velo Clube U20 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4:14 | 5 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP U20 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bragantino U20 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22:6 | 18 |
| 2 | Guarani U20 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Agua Santa U20 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Palmeiras U20 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:3 | 14 |
| 5 | Sfera U20 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17:7 | 12 |
| 6 | Gremio Prudente U20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Osasco Audax U20 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Flamengo SP U20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Capivariano U20 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 10 | XV de Jau U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:14 | 8 |
| 11 | Ituano U20 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 12 | Maua FC U20 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 13 | Tanabi U20 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | 5 |
| 14 | Referencia U20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 1 |
| 15 | Porto Football U20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
