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Capivariano vs Guariba Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paulista A4 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2011 game between Capivariano and Guariba finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capivariano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Capivariano
15%
Draws
51%
Guariba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guariba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Capivariano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guariba a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 20%
Guariba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capivariano Guariba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.7
Goals Conceded 1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2011 Paulista A4
Capivariano vs Guariba
2:1
Aug 10, 2011 Paulista A4
Guariba vs Capivariano
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano 24 / 100
Guariba 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capivariano Guariba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guariba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guariba conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Capivariano found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Capivariano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capivariano VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Capivariano

(Home)
21 Feb
Palmeiras
4 : 0
Capivariano
15 Feb
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Capivariano
08 Feb
Capivariano
1 : 0
Mirassol
05 Feb
Corinthians
3 : 0
Capivariano
25 Jan
Capivariano
1 : 2
Primavera EC
Page 1 of 6

Guariba

(Away)
21 Sept
Guariba
2 : 1
Paulinia
17 Sept
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Guariba
13 Sept
Gremio Prudente
3 : 4
Guariba
07 Sept
Guariba
4 : 3
Gremio Prudente
03 Sept
Guariba
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capivariano 6 5 1 0 13:4 16
2 Guacuano 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
3 Bandeirante 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
4 Guariba 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barretos EC 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
2 ECUS SP 6 4 0 2 7:5 12
3 Palmeirinha SP 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
4 Cotia 6 2 0 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 6 2 4 0 11:5 10
2 FC Primeira Camisa 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
3 Guaruja 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
4 Sumare 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
2 Jacarei (Inactive) 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
3 EC Sao Bernardo 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
4 Tupa 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 6 4 2 0 11:1 14
2 Olimpia FC 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
3 Sao Vicente 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Guarulhos 6 0 2 4 4:13 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Votuporanguense 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
3 Brasilis 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Ole Brasil 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)