Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Capivariano vs Matonense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Capivariano Logo

Capivariano

4 - 1
FT
Matonense Logo

Matonense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Capivariano in this Paulista A3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capivariano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Capivariano
6%
Draws
90%
Matonense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Matonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capivariano lately — more wins on the board than Matonense.
  • Win probability leans Matonense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 13%
Matonense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capivariano Matonense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 0.67 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2023 Paulista A3
Matonense vs Capivariano
2:2
Mar 30, 2023 Paulista A3
Capivariano vs Matonense
4:1
Mar 12, 2023 Paulista A3
Matonense vs Capivariano
1:3
Feb 9, 2022 Paulista A3
Capivariano vs Matonense
2:3
Mar 25, 2018 Paulista A3
Capivariano vs Matonense
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano 10 / 100
Matonense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capivariano Matonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matonense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Capivariano scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Capivariano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capivariano VS Matonense
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Capivariano

(Home)
21 Feb
Palmeiras
4 : 0
Capivariano
15 Feb
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Capivariano
08 Feb
Capivariano
1 : 0
Mirassol
05 Feb
Corinthians
3 : 0
Capivariano
25 Jan
Capivariano
1 : 2
Primavera EC
Page 1 of 6

Matonense

(Away)
18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1
Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0
Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1
Matonense
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1
Mogi Mirim
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capivariano 6 4 1 1 11:8 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
3 Marilia 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Matonense 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - Paulista A3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
2 Sao Jose EC 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 Desportivo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
4 Uniao Suzano 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
Promotion - Paulista A3 2023 (Play Offs)