Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Capixaba SC vs Vilavelhense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo
Sat, Apr 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Espirito Santo. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Capixaba SC at 0 goals for, 0 against; Vilavelhense at 1 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Capixaba SC have won 3 to Vilavelhense's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.05, favoring Vilavelhense. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Capixaba SC
30%
Draws
34%
Vilavelhense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Capixaba SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vilavelhense lately — more wins on the board than Capixaba SC.
  • Capixaba SC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Vilavelhense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Capixaba SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Capixaba SC Clean Sheet 20%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capixaba SC Vilavelhense
Matches Played 23 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Vilavelhense
0:0
Jan 29, 2026 Capixaba
Capixaba SC vs Vilavelhense
2:1
May 31, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Vilavelhense
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Capixaba
Vilavelhense vs Capixaba SC
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 Capixaba 2
Capixaba SC vs Vilavelhense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capixaba SC 36 / 100
Vilavelhense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capixaba SC Vilavelhense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vilavelhense conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Capixaba SC scored in 57% of their last 23 games.

Recent resilience: Capixaba SC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capixaba SC VS Vilavelhense
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Capixaba SC

(Home)
12 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Real Noroeste
08 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Capixaba SC
04 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Rio Branco ES
01 Feb
Vitoria ES
2 : 0
Capixaba SC
29 Jan
Capixaba SC
2 : 1
Vilavelhense
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Vilavelhense

(Away)
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
06 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
03 Jun
Vilavelhense
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Porto Vitoria751114:516
2Vitoria ES741216:813
3Vilavelhense741210:813
4Rio Branco-VN74126:413
5Rio Branco ES732211:711
6Sport-ES72053:136
7Serra71156:104
8Audax Sao Mateus71152:134
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)