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Capixaba SC vs Vilavelhense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo
Sat, Apr 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Capixaba SC at 0.91 goals for, 1.27 against; Vilavelhense at 1 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Capixaba SC have won 3 to Vilavelhense's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.05, favoring Vilavelhense. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Capixaba SC
20%
Draws
46%
Vilavelhense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vilavelhense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vilavelhense lately — more wins on the board than Capixaba SC.
  • Capixaba SC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Vilavelhense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Capixaba SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Capixaba SC Clean Sheet 20%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capixaba SC Vilavelhense
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.91 1
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Vilavelhense
0:0
Jan 29, 2026 Capixaba
Capixaba SC vs Vilavelhense
2:1
May 31, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Vilavelhense
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Capixaba
Vilavelhense vs Capixaba SC
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 Capixaba 2
Capixaba SC vs Vilavelhense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capixaba SC 36 / 100
Vilavelhense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capixaba SC Vilavelhense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vilavelhense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Capixaba SC scored in 55% of their last 22 games.

Recent resilience: Capixaba SC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capixaba SC VS Vilavelhense
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Capixaba SC

(Home)
12 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Real Noroeste
08 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Capixaba SC
04 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Rio Branco ES
01 Feb
Vitoria ES
2 : 0
Capixaba SC
29 Jan
Capixaba SC
2 : 1
Vilavelhense
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Vilavelhense

(Away)
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
06 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
03 Jun
Vilavelhense
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria 7 5 1 1 14:5 16
2 Vitoria ES 7 4 1 2 16:8 13
3 Vilavelhense 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
4 Rio Branco-VN 7 4 1 2 6:4 13
5 Rio Branco ES 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
6 Sport-ES 7 2 0 5 3:13 6
7 Serra 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
8 Audax Sao Mateus 7 1 1 5 2:13 4
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)