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Capricorne vs Sainte-Marienne

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 2023 game between Capricorne and Sainte-Marienne finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capricorne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Capricorne
15%
Draws
0%
Sainte-Marienne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capricorne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sainte-Marienne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Capricorne a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionale 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Capricorne Clean Sheet 20%
Sainte-Marienne Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capricorne Sainte-Marienne
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.77 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 Regionale 1
Capricorne vs Sainte-Marienne
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Capricorne
1:2
Jul 14, 2022 Regionale 1
Capricorne vs Sainte-Marienne
1:0
Apr 10, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Capricorne
3:2
Nov 21, 2021 Regionale 1
Capricorne vs Sainte-Marienne
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capricorne 85 / 100
Sainte-Marienne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capricorne Sainte-Marienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capricorne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Sainte-Marienne has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sainte-Marienne has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Capricorne found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Capricorne VS Sainte-Marienne
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Capricorne

(Home)
26 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
2 : 0
Capricorne
22 Nov
Capricorne
1 : 3
Tamponnaise
12 Nov
Saint-Pierroise
3 : 1
Capricorne
05 Nov
Capricorne
0 : 1
Sainte-Suzanne
22 Oct
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Capricorne
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Sainte-Marienne

(Away)
26 Nov
Tamponnaise
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
19 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
1 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
12 Nov
Sainte-Suzanne
4 : 0
Sainte-Marienne
05 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
0 : 3
Saint Louis
22 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
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