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Capricorne vs Tamponnaise

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tamponnaise in this Regionale 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tamponnaise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Capricorne
20%
Draws
70%
Tamponnaise
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tamponnaise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tamponnaise lately — more wins on the board than Capricorne.
  • Model gives Tamponnaise a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionale 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tamponnaise have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Capricorne Clean Sheet 20%
Tamponnaise Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capricorne Tamponnaise
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.77 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2023 Regionale 1
Capricorne vs Tamponnaise
1:3
Jun 25, 2023 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Capricorne
2:0
Aug 21, 2022 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Capricorne
1:0
May 1, 2022 Regionale 1
Capricorne vs Tamponnaise
0:1
Nov 14, 2021 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Capricorne
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capricorne 10 / 100
Tamponnaise 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capricorne Tamponnaise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamponnaise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Capricorne found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Tamponnaise has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Capricorne remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tamponnaise
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Capricorne

(Home)
26 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
2 : 0
Capricorne
22 Nov
Capricorne
1 : 3
Tamponnaise
12 Nov
Saint-Pierroise
3 : 1
Capricorne
05 Nov
Capricorne
0 : 1
Sainte-Suzanne
22 Oct
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Capricorne
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Tamponnaise

(Away)
23 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 6
Tamponnaise
09 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 0
Saint-Pierroise
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
18 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 1
Tamponnaise
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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