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Carabanchel vs El Alamo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Barona J.
Own Goal
60'
Mobellan M.
60'
Mobellan M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Carabanchel and El Alamo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carabanchel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Carabanchel
20%
Draws
29%
El Alamo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carabanchel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carabanchel come out ahead of El Alamo on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Carabanchel taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Carabanchel have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 68%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carabanchel El Alamo
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 12 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.81 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs El Alamo
2:0
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Carabanchel
0:0
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs El Alamo
1:0
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Carabanchel
0:2
Mar 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs El Alamo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carabanchel 86 / 100
El Alamo 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carabanchel El Alamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabanchel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: El Alamo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Carabanchel remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: El Alamo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carabanchel VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carabanchel

(Home)
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1
Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1
Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1
Carabanchel
Page 1 of 8

El Alamo

(Away)
11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1
Trival Valderas
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1
Mexico
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0
El Alamo
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)