Sport Picks
Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Venezuela
Liga FUTVE Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, Valencia 
Match Events
25'
25'
Sub
Gonzalez A. In: Guaramato M.
Out: Gonzalez A.
31'
31'
Mendoza S.
32'
32'
Ibarra R.
AI Match Summary
Carabobo in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carabobo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carabobo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Carabobo have won more games recently than Deportivo La Guaira.
- Carabobo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carabobo | Deportivo La Guaira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 13 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:0
Apr 2, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:0
Apr 17, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carabobo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramirez E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Deportivo La Guaira Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carabobo 77 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carabobo Deportivo La Guaira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carabobo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carabobo scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
Deportivo La Guaira has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Carabobo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Deportivo La Guaira lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carabobo VS Deportivo La Guaira
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Carabobo
(Home) 19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1 Carabobo
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2 Carabobo
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
4 : 3 Carabobo
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Deportivo La Guaira
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
30 Aug
Carabobo
0 : 0 Zamora
16 Aug
Carabobo
1 : 0 Metropolitanos
04 Aug
Carabobo
2 : 0 Trujillanos
Page 1 of 4
Deportivo La Guaira
(Away) 10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0 Deportivo La Guaira
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4 Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2 Universidad Central
06 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 0 Academia Anzoategui
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0 Deportivo La Guaira
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Deportivo La Guaira
03 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
1 : 1 Deportivo La Guaira
22 Aug
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 4 Deportivo La Guaira
10 Aug
Caracas
1 : 2 Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 28:9 | 31 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:15 | 26 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 21:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Merida | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 16 |
| 8 | Universidad Central | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Monagas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Caracas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Trujillanos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 11 |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17:27 | 11 |
| 13 | Zamora | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6:20 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)
