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Carabobo vs Mineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, Valencia
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
2 - 1
11:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Martinez L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Carabobo
20%
Draws
36%
Mineros
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carabobo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Mineros haven't matched Carabobo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Carabobo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Carabobo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Carabobo, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Carabobo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 16%
Mineros Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carabobo Mineros
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.48
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Carabobo vs Mineros
2:1
Jul 22, 2023 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Mineros
6:1
Apr 22, 2023 Liga FUTVE
Mineros vs Carabobo
0:1
Sep 4, 2022 Liga FUTVE
Mineros vs Carabobo
2:3
Mar 17, 2022 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Mineros
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carabobo Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Mineros Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carabobo 41 / 100
Mineros 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carabobo Mineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Carabobo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Carabobo found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Mineros has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carabobo VS Mineros
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carabobo

(Home)
17 Oct
Carabobo
2 : 2
Dep. Tachira
11 Oct
Academia Anzoategui
0 : 1
Carabobo
19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1
Carabobo
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2
Carabobo
Page 1 of 7

Mineros

(Away)
17 Oct
Mineros
3 : 0
Maritimo de Venezuela
14 Oct
Bolivar
1 : 0
Mineros
11 Oct
Aragua
3 : 0
Mineros
07 Oct
Mineros
1 : 0
Monagas
04 Oct
Mineros
3 : 2
Deportivo Miranda
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Deportivo La Guaira 3
Aragua 0
Metropolitanos -
Academia Anzoategui -
Carabobo 1
Mineros 0
Portuguesa 0
Zamora 2
Universidad Central -
Atletico Barinas -
Estudiantes Merida 1
Caracas 2
Dep. Tachira 2
Monagas 1
Academia Puerto Cabello 3
Rayo Zuliano 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo La Guaira -
TBD -
TBD -
Zamora -
TBD -
Caracas -
Dep. Tachira -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -