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Carajas vs Atletico Paraense

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Carajas Logo

Carajas

0 - 0
FT
Atletico Paraense Logo

Atletico Paraense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraense A2 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Carajas
30%
Draws
41%
Atletico Paraense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Paraense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Carajas haven't matched Atletico Paraense's recent run of results.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Carajas Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Paraense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carajas Atletico Paraense
Matches Played 24 13
Wins 4 10
Draws 9 1
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 0.88 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Paraense A2
Atletico Paraense vs Carajas
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 Paraense A2
Carajas vs Atletico Paraense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carajas 29 / 100
Atletico Paraense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carajas Atletico Paraense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carajas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carajas scored in 63% of their last 24 games.

Solid form: Carajas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Atletico Paraense has conceded goals in 46% of their last 13 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Carajas VS Atletico Paraense
0.88 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carajas

(Home)
10 Jun
Carajas
0 : 1
Izabelense
05 Jun
Izabelense
2 : 1
Carajas
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
09 May
Itupiranga
1 : 1
Carajas
Page 1 of 5

Atletico Paraense

(Away)
23 May
Itupiranga
4 : 1
Atletico Paraense
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
02 May
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Itupiranga
25 Apr
Carajas
0 : 0
Atletico Paraense
25 Nov
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Santos PA
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caete 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Santos PA 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Canaa 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Paragominas 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Marajo 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
3 Uniao Paraense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carajas 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
2 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Atletico Paraense 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)