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Carajas vs Canaa

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2 2025
Carajas Logo

Carajas

1 - 2
FT
Canaa Logo

Canaa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Canaa in this Paraense A2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Carajas
35%
Draws
32%
Canaa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Canaa average 1.05 goals a game right now, well clear of Carajas's 0.88.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Carajas Clean Sheet 16%
Canaa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carajas Canaa
Matches Played 24 20
Wins 4 4
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 Paraense A2
Canaa vs Carajas
3:0
Jun 18, 2025 Paraense A2
Carajas vs Canaa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carajas 30 / 100
Canaa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carajas Canaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carajas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carajas scored in 63% of their last 24 games.

Canaa let in goals in 65% of their last 20 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Carajas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carajas VS Canaa
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carajas

(Home)
10 Jun
Carajas
0 : 1
Izabelense
05 Jun
Izabelense
2 : 1
Carajas
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
09 May
Itupiranga
1 : 1
Carajas
Page 1 of 5

Canaa

(Away)
23 May
Canaa
0 : 0
Santos PA
16 May
Caete
0 : 0
Canaa
09 May
Santos PA
2 : 2
Canaa
25 Apr
Canaa
2 : 2
Caete
26 Jul
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 0
Canaa
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonia IFC 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Uniao Paraense 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
3 ESMAC 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Paragominas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Pinheirense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 0 1 11:8 9
2 Marajo 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
3 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
2 Itupiranga 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
3 Carajas 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)