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Carajas vs Itupiranga

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2 2025
Carajas Logo

Carajas

2 - 4
FT
Itupiranga Logo

Itupiranga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 2025 game between Carajas and Itupiranga finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itupiranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Carajas
35%
Draws
35%
Itupiranga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Itupiranga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Paraense A2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Carajas Clean Sheet 17%
Itupiranga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carajas Itupiranga
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Paraense A2
Carajas vs Itupiranga
0:0
May 9, 2026 Paraense A2
Itupiranga vs Carajas
1:1
Jun 24, 2025 Paraense A2
Carajas vs Itupiranga
2:4
Jun 14, 2025 Paraense A2
Itupiranga vs Carajas
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Paraense A2
Itupiranga vs Carajas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carajas 36 / 100
Itupiranga 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carajas Itupiranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itupiranga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itupiranga let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Carajas's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Carajas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carajas VS Itupiranga
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carajas

(Home)
10 Jun
Carajas
0 : 1
Izabelense
05 Jun
Izabelense
2 : 1
Carajas
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
09 May
Itupiranga
1 : 1
Carajas
Page 1 of 5

Itupiranga

(Away)
21 Jun
Izabelense
0 : 0
Itupiranga
14 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 2
Izabelense
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0
Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0
Independente
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonia IFC 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Uniao Paraense 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
3 ESMAC 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Paragominas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Pinheirense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 0 1 11:8 9
2 Marajo 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
3 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
2 Itupiranga 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
3 Carajas 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)